Robots are advancing at a rapid rate now. Scott Kapor at Andreessen-Horowitz estimates sentience
in only 3 to 5 years.
Moore's law ended making chips faster and now it started making them cheaper and consuming less
power. Intel chips are no longer the "big thing" and engineers are using Nvidia chips to simulate
neural networks. As recently as 10 years ago, according to Mark Andreessen, Neural Networks were
considered a disappointment. Now some breakthroughs and the availability of more chips at low cost
is leading to rapid advances in artificial intelligence. The Amazon Echo is the latest "big thing" but it
still has quite a ways to go before she will carry on a conversation.
I expect to have a robot that can put the dishes into the washing machine by 2022.
THE ROBOTS ARRIVED years ago. They help build stuff in factories. They shuttle packages and
products across the massive warehouses that drive Amazon’s worldwide retail operation. And so much
more. But Ilker Yildirim envisions a robot that can operate with a bit more subtlety, a bot that needn’
t operate according to pre-programmed movements. This machine could respond to changes in its
environment, much like humans do, and predict what will happen when one action is chosen over
another. He envisions a robot that can do your dishes.
That’s a harder task than you might think. It involves predicting what will happen when you stack one
dish on top of another; when you put it under the kitchen faucet; when you place it your dish washer.
We humans do this intuitively, and Yildirim aims to duplicate this kind of intuition with hardware and