Scenarios

Scenarios are used when looking at the future.  Obviously not all scenarios will occur as the future unfolds
and, in fact, most will not.  The scenarios offered on this web site are often single subject sketches meant
to dislodge thinking that could otherwise become fixed due to linear predictions from the present.  

Example of the use of scenarios:
Human Generated Scenario: A human ecologist models the Earth in 2000 and predicts that the human
population will grow to 16 billion by 2100 and the global temperature will rise by 4 to 10 degrees Celsius
due to humans carrying on the activities seen in industrialized countries in 2000.

Typical Customer: A human being who assumes that humans will continue to do things similar to how
they are done now, will do these things more because of increased human population and therefore can
foresee resultant problems in earth's future.


Robot Generated Scenario: A robot ecologist predicts that exponentially increasing technological
advances will cause a shift in types of power sources away from fossil fuels and hence no excess carbon
dioxide based predictions will come to pass.  Alternatively, the robot may predict global cooling lies ahead
because he is looking at a picture which contains factors beyond simply measuring CO2.

Typical Customer: A robot who assumes that humans will not continue to do things similar to how they
are done now because of the rapid change in technology.


Scenario Index